Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.721261 0.822177 0.931859 1.059889 1.205215 1.365031 1.554111
2025-05-25 0.549312 0.684119 0.843639 1.046207 1.296527 1.595701 1.980498
2025-06-01 0.456333 0.605108 0.792075 1.044049 1.374634 1.793544 2.364894
2025-06-08 0.394704 0.550982 0.757287 1.049178 1.451303 1.985732 2.750259
2025-06-15 0.349909 0.510748 0.732340 1.059360 1.529340 2.180206 3.150472
2025-06-22 0.303224 0.460794 0.686400 1.032232 1.548510 2.290435 3.438115
2025-06-29 0.266229 0.419782 0.647525 1.008973 1.567642 2.398044 3.726652
2025-07-06 0.232135 0.378835 0.603675 0.972244 1.560626 2.463041 3.952782
2025-07-13 0.223759 0.376887 0.618756 1.027178 1.698766 2.758774 4.559509
2025-07-20 0.214773 0.372719 0.629397 1.075133 1.828826 3.051015 5.184009
2025-07-27 0.205982 0.367754 0.637852 1.119525 1.955831 3.347162 5.838151
2025-08-03 0.194272 0.356431 0.634288 1.142590 2.047805 3.591157 6.422671
2025-08-10 0.175768 0.331570 0.605683 1.120328 2.060805 3.704753 6.796672
2025-08-17 0.160309 0.310711 0.582220 1.105026 2.084703 3.839162 7.219488
2025-08-24 0.148424 0.295237 0.566877 1.102736 2.131263 4.016314 7.732866
2025-08-31 0.138770 0.283019 0.556320 1.108149 2.192055 4.223257 8.317516
2025-09-07 0.130686 0.273047 0.549018 1.118895 2.263440 4.454718 8.966747
2025-09-14 0.118884 0.254382 0.523048 1.090264 2.254724 4.531652 9.319385
2025-09-21 0.108704 0.238050 0.500209 1.065718 2.251633 4.618417 9.697250
2025-09-28 0.098106 0.219786 0.471780 1.026954 2.215744 4.636289 9.934926
2025-10-05 0.097546 0.223186 0.488619 1.084931 2.386675 5.086733 11.106889
2025-10-12 0.096209 0.224722 0.501574 1.135541 2.545845 5.524501 12.286224
2025-10-19 0.094524 0.225293 0.512440 1.182388 2.700477 5.963970 13.503411